Picks graded
30
22 hit · 7 miss · 1 push
Hit rate
75.9%
excludes pushes
Cumulative P&L
$+13.50
on $28 staked
ROI
+47.4%
paper + real combined
📈 Cumulative P&L
Cumulative P&L (last 30 days)
🎯 Calibration · is the model honest?
Not enough graded picks with predicted probabilities yet for a calibration check.
🏆 Performance breakdown
By sport
Which sport's locks are paying off.
| Bucket | N | Hit rate | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 30 | 75.9% | $+13.50 | +47.4% |
By tier
ELITE picks should clear 60%+ hit rate. STRONG > 55%. MED > 50%.
| Bucket | N | Hit rate | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELITE | 10 | 80.0% | $+6.00 | +60.0% |
| MED | 3 | 100.0% | $+1.50 | +100.0% |
| LOW | 17 | 68.8% | $+6.00 | +35.3% |
By market type
Which bet types are model strengths / weaknesses.
| Bucket | N | Hit rate | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | 16 | 73.3% | $+7.00 | +43.8% |
| MLB prop · Pitcher Strikeouts | 6 | 83.3% | $+2.50 | +55.6% |
| MLB prop · Total Bases | 4 | 75.0% | $+2.00 | +50.0% |
| MLB prop · Pitching Outs | 3 | 66.7% | $+1.00 | +33.3% |
| MLB prop · Walks Allowed | 1 | 100.0% | $+1.00 | +100.0% |
By source feed
Which paper-trade source is contributing the most.
| Bucket | N | Hit rate | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB-PP | 30 | 75.9% | $+13.50 | +47.4% |
📋 Recent picks
Recent graded picks (latest 50)
| Date | Sport | Pick | Side | Tier | Edge | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Kai-Wei Teng MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | ELITE | +11.2pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Tomoyuki Sugano MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | ELITE | +9.5pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Bubba Chandler MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | ELITE | +8.1pp | $1 | MISS | $-1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Connor Prielipp MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | ELITE | +7.8pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Logan Henderson MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | ELITE | +7.7pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Chris Paddack MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | ELITE | +7.2pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Mason Fluharty MLB prop · Pitcher Strikeouts | MORE | MED | +3.9pp | $0 | HIT | $+0.50 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Logan Henderson MLB prop · Pitcher Strikeouts | MORE | LOW | +2.4pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Connor Prielipp MLB prop · Pitcher Strikeouts | MORE | LOW | +2.0pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Bubba Chandler MLB prop · Pitcher Strikeouts | MORE | LOW | +1.7pp | $1 | MISS | $-1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Trevor McDonald MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | LOW | +5.8pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Noah Cameron MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | LOW | +4.6pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Payton Tolle MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | LOW | +4.5pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Kyle Leahy MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | LOW | +4.4pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-16 | MLB | Bryce Elder MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | LESS | LOW | -5.3pp | $1 | PUSH | $+0.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Spencer Strider MLB prop · Pitching Outs | LESS | ELITE | -3.7pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Aaron Civale MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | ELITE | +4.8pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Clay Holmes MLB prop · Pitching Outs | MORE | ELITE | +2.2pp | $1 | MISS | $-1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Coleman Crow MLB prop · Pitching Outs | MORE | ELITE | +2.0pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Will Klein MLB prop · Pitcher Strikeouts | MORE | MED | +3.9pp | $0 | HIT | $+0.50 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Connelly Early MLB prop · Pitcher Strikeouts | MORE | MED | +3.9pp | $0 | HIT | $+0.50 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Merrill Kelly MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | LOW | +3.8pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Kyle Freeland MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | LOW | +3.6pp | $1 | MISS | $-1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Tyler Mahle MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | LOW | +3.2pp | $1 | MISS | $-1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Dustin May MLB prop · Pitcher Fantasy Score | MORE | LOW | +3.1pp | $1 | MISS | $-1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Aaron Judge MLB prop · Total Bases | MORE | LOW | +1.2pp | $1 | MISS | $-1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Alec Burleson MLB prop · Total Bases | MORE | LOW | +1.3pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Andrew Vaughn MLB prop · Total Bases | MORE | LOW | +1.2pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Andy Pages MLB prop · Total Bases | MORE | LOW | +1.1pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | MLB | Aaron Civale MLB prop · Walks Allowed | MORE | LOW | +1.1pp | $1 | HIT | $+1.00 |